Turan Tovuz 3-1 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
2.24/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.50
+56% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sebail FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
26.08.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-3 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
22.05.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
16.03.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
15.10.2022 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 2-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
13.08.2022 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz beat Sebail FK 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day Turan Tovuz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.67 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Sebail FK?

Turan Tovuz 3-1 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 40%, draw 29%, Sebail FK 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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