Cercle Brugge 1-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
3.08
6+ Goals
14%
9.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
19%
3.73
X/2
6%
11.3
X/X
14%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.3
2/2
10%
8.61
2/X
7%
17.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.05/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.12
+9% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.0 Crosses 13.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 1.15
40% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
169 Passes 310
58% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
27.05.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-4 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
29.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
04.02.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
07.08.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-0 HT 2-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
05.02.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-1
AWAY Standard Liege
1.04 xG 1.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 171
65% Pass Accuracy 53%
34 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge and Standard Liege shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 58% of the ball to Standard Liege's 42%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.04 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cercle Brugge and 0.67 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege?

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 51%, draw 27%, Standard Liege 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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