26/01/2024
·
02:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Operario AM vs Rio Negro AM Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
33%
4-5
28%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
27%
30%
Draw
26%
34%
Away Win
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Operario AM v Rio Negro AM — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Operario AM
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rio Negro AM
The Market 51%
-15% /
-15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-56%
/
+12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
310 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
373 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Operario AM vs Rio Negro AM Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Operario AM
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Rio Negro AM
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Operario AM vs Rio Negro AM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Operario AM got the better of Rio Negro AM 3-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Operario AM found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Operario AM vs Rio Negro AM?
Operario AM 3-1 Rio Negro AM in the Brazil - Amazonense on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Operario AM vs Rio Negro AM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Operario AM win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Operario AM 36%, draw 30%, Rio Negro AM 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario AM), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Operario AM)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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