Jacuipense 3-2 Atletico Alagoinhas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Baino 1, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
32%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
74%
-22.5pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
11%
+21.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jacuipense EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Alagoinhas EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.68/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.12
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +42%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
447 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jacuipense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Alagoinhas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas 1-0 HT 0-0 Jacuipense Jacuipense BRE4
21.05.2023 Jacuipense Jacuipense 3-3 HT 1-2 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas BRE4
26.01.2023 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas 0-1 HT 0-1 Jacuipense Jacuipense BRB1
03.07.2022 Jacuipense Jacuipense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas BRE4
10.04.2022 Jacuipense Jacuipense 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas BRB1
03.04.2022 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas 1-1 HT 1-0 Jacuipense Jacuipense BRB1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jacuipense
3-2
AWAY Atletico Alagoinhas
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Jacuipense vs Atletico Alagoinhas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jacuipense squeezed past Atletico Alagoinhas 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jacuipense as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Jacuipense had 38% of the ball to Atletico Alagoinhas's 62%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Alagoinhas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jacuipense and 1.33 for Atletico Alagoinhas.

What was the final score of Jacuipense vs Atletico Alagoinhas?

Jacuipense 3-2 Atletico Alagoinhas in the Brazil - Baino 1 on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jacuipense vs Atletico Alagoinhas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jacuipense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jacuipense 52%, draw 16%, Atletico Alagoinhas 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jacuipense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jacuipense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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