Potyguar 0-1 Santa Cruz de Natal RN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Potiguar, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
25%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Potyguar EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz de Natal RN EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.60/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.32
-53% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Potyguar
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Cruz de Natal RN
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2022 Potyguar Potyguar 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz de Natal RN Santa Cruz de Natal RN BRPO
16.01.2022 Santa Cruz de Natal RN Santa Cruz de Natal RN 3-0 HT 2-0 Potyguar Potyguar BRPO
POST-MATCH Potyguar vs Santa Cruz de Natal RN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz de Natal RN squeezed past Potyguar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Santa Cruz de Natal RN made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Potyguar and 1.50 for Santa Cruz de Natal RN.

What was the final score of Potyguar vs Santa Cruz de Natal RN?

Potyguar 0-1 Santa Cruz de Natal RN in the Brazil - Potiguar on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Potyguar vs Santa Cruz de Natal RN?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Cruz de Natal RN win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Potyguar 33%, draw 29%, Santa Cruz de Natal RN 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Cruz de Natal RN), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Cruz de Natal RN) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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