Portuguesa MS 2-0 Náutico MS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa MS The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Náutico MS The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
498 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Portuguesa MS vs Náutico MS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa MS saw off Náutico MS 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portuguesa MS as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Portuguesa MS vs Náutico MS?

Portuguesa MS 2-0 Náutico MS in the Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa MS vs Náutico MS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa MS win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa MS 52%, draw 28%, Náutico MS 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa MS), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa MS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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