ASEC-K 1-2 Etoile Filante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.47
Draw
38%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No
68%
Total Goals
0-1
43%
2-3
36%
4-5
13%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
27%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
37%
-10.3pp
38%
Draw
30%
+7.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASEC-K The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Filante The Market 37%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH ASEC-K vs Etoile Filante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Filante squeezed past ASEC-K 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (26% / 38% / 36%) promised a tight game; Etoile Filante found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of ASEC-K vs Etoile Filante?

ASEC-K 1-2 Etoile Filante in the Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASEC-K vs Etoile Filante?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ASEC-K 26%, draw 38%, Etoile Filante 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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