NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NK Varazdin v Slaven Belupo — Team-Based Signals
NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-2
NK Varazdin
HIR
2-2
HT 2-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
1-1
HT 1-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
1-0
HT 0-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
1-0
HT 1-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
0-1
HT 0-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
NK Varazdin 1-2 Slaven Belupo — Actual Match Statistics
Slaven Belupo edged past NK Varazdin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was NK Varazdin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, NK Varazdin had 63% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 37%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.01 to 1.20 — on chances, NK Varazdin could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.33 for Slaven Belupo.
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo?
NK Varazdin 1-2 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo?
Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 41%, draw 30%, Slaven Belupo 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NK Varazdin), Under 2.5 went the other way.