26/01/2024
·
22:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Kilbarrack United vs St. Francis Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
27%
Home Win
28%
34%
Draw
29%
40%
Away Win
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilbarrack United v St. Francis — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kilbarrack United
The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
St. Francis
The Market 46%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
9
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
278 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
368 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kilbarrack United vs St. Francis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kilbarrack United and St. Francis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (27% / 34% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Kilbarrack United vs St. Francis?
Kilbarrack United 1-1 St. Francis in the Ireland - Leinster Senior League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilbarrack United vs St. Francis?
Before kick-off our model rated an St. Francis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kilbarrack United 27%, draw 34%, St. Francis 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Francis), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (St. Francis)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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