Al Nasar 2-1 Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Emir Cup, 26 Jan 2024

Al Nasar
2-1 HT 0-0
Sahel
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Kuwait - Emir Cup – 2025/2026

Al Nasar vs Sahel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.37
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
2.18
Over 2.5
34%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
68%
-18.3pp
33%
Draw
19%
+13.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
42%
+23.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
58%
-23.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasar v Sahel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sahel EU Bookmakers 16%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.23
-21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Nasar vs Sahel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sahel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
30.04.2023 Sahel 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
05.04.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-0 HT 1-0 Sahel KUV
19.12.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 4-1 HT 0-1 Sahel KUV
19.10.2022 Sahel 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUVPK
01.09.2022 Sahel 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
08.05.2021 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-1 HT 0-0 Sahel KUV
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar squeezed past Sahel 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nasar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Nasar and 1.33 for Sahel.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Sahel?

Al Nasar 2-1 Sahel in the Kuwait - Emir Cup on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 50%, draw 33%, Sahel 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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