Celaya 2-0 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 26 Jan 2024

Celaya
2-0 HT 2-0
Correcaminos UAT
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Celaya vs Correcaminos UAT Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celaya v Correcaminos UAT — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.70/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.59
-1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Celaya vs Correcaminos UAT Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
13.04.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
17.10.2022 Celaya Celaya 0-3 HT 0-3 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
23.02.2022 Celaya Celaya 1-1 HT 1-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
29.09.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
07.04.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 0-2 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celaya beat Correcaminos UAT 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Celaya and 1.00 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Celaya vs Correcaminos UAT?

Celaya 2-0 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Celaya 51%, draw 24%, Correcaminos UAT 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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