UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UTC Cajamarca v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
2-2
HT 1-1
UTC Cajamarca
PER
UTC Cajamarca 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
UTC Cajamarca nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UTC Cajamarca as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 35% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 65%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.42 to 0.31.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.00 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
UTC Cajamarca 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 42%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTC Cajamarca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.