26/01/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Oslo FA vs DUC Dakar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
3%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
34%
34%
Draw
27%
23%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oslo FA v DUC Dakar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Oslo FA
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
DUC Dakar
The Market 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
15
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
331 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
423 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Oslo FA vs DUC Dakar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Oslo FA got the better of DUC Dakar 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Oslo FA as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Oslo FA vs DUC Dakar?
Oslo FA 3-1 DUC Dakar in the Senegal - 2nd Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oslo FA vs DUC Dakar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oslo FA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oslo FA 44%, draw 34%, DUC Dakar 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oslo FA), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Oslo FA)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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