Adanaspor 1-2 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2024

Adanaspor
1-2 HT 1-1
Keçiörengücü
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Adanaspor vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.83
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.23
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
11%
5.84
X/2
11%
5.12
X/X
13%
4.09
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
19%
3.51
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adanaspor v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.27/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.12
+13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.1 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Adanaspor vs Keçiörengücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.53 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
305 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
10.12.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
23.01.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
28.08.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
07.02.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
25.09.2020 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L

Adanaspor 1-2 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
1-2
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.10 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
351 Passes 252
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü edged past Adanaspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Keçiörengücü found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adanaspor had 56% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 44%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.10 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Adanaspor and 1.00 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Adanaspor 1-2 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 32%, draw 30%, Keçiörengücü 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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