Napoli (K) 0-1 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
23%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.3pp
23%
Away Win
30%
-7.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.35/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.61
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
8.9 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.79 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
225 Passes 241
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
05.05.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
20.01.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
0-1
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
0.20 xG 1.15
67% Ball Possession 33%
6 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
446 Passes 173
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria (K) squeezed past Napoli (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 36% / 23% — and on the day Sampdoria (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 67% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 33%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.20 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Napoli (K) and 0.50 for Sampdoria (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Napoli (K) 0-1 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 41%, draw 36%, Sampdoria (K) 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Napoli (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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