Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.89
1/2
7%
23.85
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
13%
6.24
X/2
12%
5.6
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
20%
3.3
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.5
Value flag · 2/X at 12.5 — our 10% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.77/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.92
+19% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.6 Crosses 19.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Auckland
1.26 xG 2.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
338 Passes 373
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 41
7 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland squeezed past Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Auckland made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Auckland's 53%, shots finished 15-22, expected goals 1.26 to 2.08.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland?

Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 34%, draw 27%, Auckland 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auckland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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