PSS Sleman 2-4 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.88/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.60
+13% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSS Sleman
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Semen Padang
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Semen Padang Semen Padang 1-0 HT 1-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
13.09.2019 Semen Padang Semen Padang 0-1 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSS Sleman vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Semen Padang saw off PSS Sleman 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was PSS Sleman at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for PSS Sleman and 0.50 for Semen Padang.

What was the final score of PSS Sleman vs Semen Padang?

PSS Sleman 2-4 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSS Sleman vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSS Sleman win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PSS Sleman 41%, draw 29%, Semen Padang 30%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSS Sleman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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