Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.81
No
68%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-0.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
32%
+0.4pp
68%
BTTS No
68%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 57%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.00/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.51
-100% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-0
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
48% Ball Possession 52%
2 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Hadiya Hosaena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni nicked a narrow win over Hadiya Hosaena 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hadiya Hosaena at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 48% of the ball to Hadiya Hosaena's 52%, shots finished 2-3.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 20%, draw 27%, Hadiya Hosaena 53%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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