Heerenveen (K) 1-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
14%
X/1
29%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-1 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
11.02.2024 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1-0
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
439 Passes 181
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen (K) nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Heerenveen (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 65% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard (K)'s 35%, shots finished 25-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Heerenveen (K) and 0.50 for Fortuna Sittard (K).

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 1-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 40%, draw 27%, Fortuna Sittard (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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