PEC Zwolle (K) 0-4 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
66%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
53%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
6%
+8.8pp
19%
Draw
12%
+7.1pp
66%
Away Win
82%
-15.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.48/3.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/0.85
-46% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
212 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Ajax (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.40 xG 2.51
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
214 Passes 446
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
29.09.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
23.03.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
10.11.2023 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
0-4
AWAY Ajax (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
317 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) cruised past PEC Zwolle (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PEC Zwolle (K) had 49% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 51%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PEC Zwolle (K) and 3.67 for Ajax (K).

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle (K) vs Ajax (K)?

PEC Zwolle (K) 0-4 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle (K) 15%, draw 19%, Ajax (K) 66%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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