Al Nejmeh 1-2 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.7pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.4pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
204 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed nicked a narrow win over Al Nejmeh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Al Ahed made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

Al Nejmeh 1-2 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Nejmeh 31%, draw 34%, Al Ahed 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (31/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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