Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.6
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.5pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.08/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.72
-9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +37%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
23.5 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
213 Passes 285
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
03.01.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-3 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
26.07.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
22.02.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
14.08.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
22.02.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
0.74 xG 0.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
200 Passes 406
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra nicked a narrow win over Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 39% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 61%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.74 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceramica Cleopatra led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.00 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 30%, draw 27%, Ceramica Cleopatra 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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