Şili U20 1-2 Uruguay U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay U20 EU Bookmakers 49%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.13/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.13
-100% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% / +90%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
238 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
15.0 Crosses 11.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili U20
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Uruguay U20
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.13 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
295 Passes 357
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
5 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2023 Şili U20 Şili U20 0-3 HT 0-3 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 SUD20
15.11.2018 Şili U20 Şili U20 1-0 HT 1-0 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 HAZ
13.11.2018 Şili U20 Şili U20 1-1 HT 0-0 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 HAZ
22.01.2015 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 6-1 HT 3-0 Şili U20 Şili U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili U20
1-2
AWAY Uruguay U20
1.11 xG 1.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
175 Passes 270
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 28
POST-MATCH Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay U20 edged past Şili U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uruguay U20 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Şili U20 had 41% of the ball to Uruguay U20's 59%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.11 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uruguay U20 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Şili U20 and 2.50 for Uruguay U20.

What was the final score of Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20?

Şili U20 1-2 Uruguay U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uruguay U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Şili U20 31%, draw 29%, Uruguay U20 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uruguay U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uruguay U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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