West Ham United 4-2 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

West Ham United
4-2 HT 2-1
Brentford
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

West Ham United vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.23
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.15
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
15%
4.84
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
19%
4.15
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United v Brentford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.36/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.16
-2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
22.0 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

West Ham United vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Brentford
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 30
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-2 HT 1-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
14.05.2023 Brentford Brentford 2-0 HT 2-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
07.01.2023 Brentford Brentford 0-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United FAK
30.12.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-2 Brentford Brentford İNP
10.04.2022 Brentford Brentford 2-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
03.10.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 1-2 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP

West Ham United 4-2 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
4-2
AWAY Brentford
1.69 xG 0.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
305 Passes 445
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United saw off Brentford 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; West Ham United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, West Ham United had 41% of the ball to Brentford's 59%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.69 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for West Ham United and 1.83 for Brentford.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Brentford?

West Ham United 4-2 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 34%, draw 28%, Brentford 38%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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