26/02/2024
·
16:05
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Ironi Nesher vs Kiryat Yam SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
54%
34%
Draw
23%
32%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ironi Nesher v Kiryat Yam SC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ironi Nesher
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kiryat Yam SC
EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+67% /
+67%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+76%
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
334 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
282 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ironi Nesher vs Kiryat Yam SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kiryat Yam SC swept aside Ironi Nesher 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Kiryat Yam SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ironi Nesher vs Kiryat Yam SC?
Ironi Nesher 0-3 Kiryat Yam SC in the Israel - Liga Alef on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ironi Nesher vs Kiryat Yam SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ironi Nesher win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Ironi Nesher 34%, draw 34%, Kiryat Yam SC 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32)
✓ Over 2.5
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İSALEF
More Israel - Liga Alef
26 Feb 2024