Fiorentina U19 5-0 Bologna U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
37%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
24%
+13.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.01/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.74
-54% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bologna U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.12.2023 Bologna U19 Bologna U19 0-3 HT 0-1 Fiorentina U19 Fiorentina U19 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U19
5-0
AWAY Bologna U19
57% Ball Possession 43%
31 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U19 vs Bologna U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U19 swept aside Bologna U19 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Fiorentina U19 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fiorentina U19 had 57% of the ball to Bologna U19's 43%, shots finished 31-12.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U19 vs Bologna U19?

Fiorentina U19 5-0 Bologna U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U19 vs Bologna U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U19 42%, draw 22%, Bologna U19 37%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U19), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U19) ✓ BTTS No
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