O Higgins 1-0 Colo Colo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-6.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.5pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.20/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.26
+3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.3 Crosses 15.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Colo Colo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 268
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-0 HT 1-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
30.01.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 5-1 HT 0-1 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
30.10.2022 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
22.05.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 1-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
09.09.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 2-3 HT 1-0 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
12.04.2021 Colo Colo Colo Colo 1-2 HT 1-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
1-0
AWAY Colo Colo
1.40 xG 0.10
27% Ball Possession 73%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
121 Passes 514
56% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs Colo Colo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins squeezed past Colo Colo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; O Higgins found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, O Higgins had 27% of the ball to Colo Colo's 73%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.40 to 0.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold O Higgins's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colo Colo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for O Higgins and 1.67 for Colo Colo.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs Colo Colo?

O Higgins 1-0 Colo Colo in the Chile - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs Colo Colo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 34%, draw 30%, Colo Colo 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Colo Colo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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