Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.18
2-3 Goals
31%
2.09
4-5 Goals
31%
2.55
6+ Goals
17%
5.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.92
1/2
7%
21.45
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
8%
6.81
X/2
8%
5.45
X/X
7%
6.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
25%
2.89
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.2pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.57/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.07
+10% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
20.2 Crosses 26.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Inter Miami
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.53 xG 2.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
6 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
474 Passes 217
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-3 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1-1
AWAY Inter Miami
3.37 xG 0.63
37% Ball Possession 63%
24 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
267 Passes 496
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
44 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy and Inter Miami couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 37% of the ball to Inter Miami's 63%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 3.37 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Inter Miami?

Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 37%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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