Muharraq 1-0 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Copa del Rey, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.31/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-75% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Khalidiya
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
19.02.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
26.12.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 1-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
20.01.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
30.09.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 0-1 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
1-0
AWAY Khalidiya
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq edged past Khalidiya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Muharraq found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muharraq had 56% of the ball to Khalidiya's 44%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Muharraq and 1.20 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Khalidiya?

Muharraq 1-0 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Copa del Rey on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 38%, draw 26%, Khalidiya 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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