Bolivar 4-4 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 26 Feb 2024

Bolivar
4-4 HT 2-1
The Strongest
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Bolivar vs The Strongest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bolivar v The Strongest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.28/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.25
+31% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
11.7 Crosses 13.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

Bolivar vs The Strongest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY The Strongest
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
248 Passes 206
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.07.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-0 HT 2-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
18.02.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 3-2 HT 2-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
13.10.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 4-4 HT 2-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
12.06.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 0-3 HT 0-2 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
08.05.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 1-0 HT 1-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
15.03.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ

Bolivar 4-4 The Strongest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
4-4
AWAY The Strongest
1.20 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
180 Passes 200
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar and The Strongest couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bolivar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bolivar had 49% of the ball to The Strongest's 51%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bolivar and 1.17 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs The Strongest?

Bolivar 4-4 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 50%, draw 22%, The Strongest 29%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bolivar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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