Dragon 0-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 26 Feb 2024

Dragon
0-1 HT 0-0
Alianza
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Dragon vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Alianza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.72/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.03
-41% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.3

Dragon vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Alianza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
04.09.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-3 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
08.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.03.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Dragon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dragon and 1.50 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Alianza?

Dragon 0-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dragon 31%, draw 26%, Alianza 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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