Paraguay (K) 0-4 Kanada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
12.23
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
71%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.81
No
61%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
53%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
5%
+6.7pp
17%
Draw
10%
+7.1pp
71%
Away Win
85%
-13.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay (K)
0-4
AWAY Kanada (K)
0.07 xG 3.41
25% Ball Possession 75%
3 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 13
97 Passes 446
51% Pass Accuracy 83%
1 Box Touches 39
4 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paraguay (K) vs Kanada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) cruised past Paraguay (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kanada (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paraguay (K) had 25% of the ball to Kanada (K)'s 75%, shots finished 3-26, expected goals 0.07 to 3.41.

What was the final score of Paraguay (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Paraguay (K) 0-4 Kanada (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Paraguay (K) 12%, draw 17%, Kanada (K) 71%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kanada (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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