East Bengal 1-0 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 26 Feb 2024

East Bengal
1-0 HT 0-0
Chennaiyin FC
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

East Bengal vs Chennaiyin FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.43
2-3 Goals
34%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
13%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v Chennaiyin FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.51/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.14
-2% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
22.7 Crosses 20.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

East Bengal vs Chennaiyin FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 1.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 350
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 0-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
12.02.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
04.11.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 0-1 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
02.02.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 2-2 HT 0-2 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
03.12.2021 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
18.01.2021 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL

East Bengal 1-0 Chennaiyin FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Bengal
1-0
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
0.70 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
269 Passes 249
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal squeezed past Chennaiyin FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day East Bengal made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, East Bengal had 52% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 48%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.70 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chennaiyin FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for East Bengal and 1.00 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Chennaiyin FC?

East Bengal 1-0 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 37%, draw 30%, Chennaiyin FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Bengal), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (East Bengal) ✓ BTTS No
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