Colchester United U21 2-0 Cardiff City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.94
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
58%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
30%
-7.1pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.9pp
58%
Away Win
48%
+10.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.8pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+95% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
235 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester United U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cardiff City U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.02.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 1-1 HT 0-1 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Colchester United U21 vs Cardiff City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester United U21 saw off Cardiff City U21 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cardiff City U21 at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Colchester United U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Colchester United U21 2-0 Cardiff City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester United U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Colchester United U21 23%, draw 19%, Cardiff City U21 58%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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