Municipal Liberia 2-0 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.68/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.89
-1% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
409 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
27.08.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-4 HT 2-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
2-0
AWAY Sporting San Jose
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia beat Sporting San Jose 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 60% of the ball to Sporting San Jose's 40%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.00 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?

Municipal Liberia 2-0 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 46%, draw 29%, Sporting San Jose 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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