Santos Laguna 1-0 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.60/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.31
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.0 Crosses 11.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Mazatlan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
273 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
02.11.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-1 HT 2-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
21.01.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.10.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
20.04.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.10.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-0 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
1-0
AWAY Mazatlan
1.91 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
498 Passes 374
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna nicked a narrow win over Mazatlan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Santos Laguna made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 56% of the ball to Mazatlan's 44%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.91 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santos Laguna's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.00 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Mazatlan?

Santos Laguna 1-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos Laguna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 40%, draw 29%, Mazatlan 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos Laguna) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos Laguna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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