Al Mokawloon 0-1 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
5.99
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.95/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.16
-12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.6 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Masry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
217 Passes 346
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
21.12.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
30.08.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
01.05.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
08.08.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
06.02.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
0-1
AWAY Al Masry
0.52 xG 1.08
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
171 Passes 410
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry squeezed past Al Mokawloon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 35% of the ball to Al Masry's 65%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.52 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Mokawloon and 1.17 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Al Masry?

Al Mokawloon 0-1 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 29%, draw 29%, Al Masry 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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