Chrobry Glogow 0-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.60/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.89
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-1 HT 1-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
27.05.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
30.10.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-2 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
01.04.2021 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
30.09.2020 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
0-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna nicked a narrow win over Chrobry Glogow 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chrobry Glogow at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 47% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 53%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gornik Leczna led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 1.60 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Gornik Leczna?

Chrobry Glogow 0-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chrobry Glogow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 43%, draw 26%, Gornik Leczna 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chrobry Glogow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chrobry Glogow) ✓ Under 2.5
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