Paços De Ferreira 1-0 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 26 Feb 2024

Paços De Ferreira
1-0 HT 1-0
CD Feirense
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paços De Ferreira v CD Feirense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.79/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.45
+58% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.6 Crosses 16.9
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CD Feirense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
309 Passes 254
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
19.12.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POK
29.01.2018 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
21.08.2017 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-1 HT 1-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
06.05.2017 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
22.12.2016 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-0 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR

Paços De Ferreira 1-0 CD Feirense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1-0
AWAY CD Feirense
1.47 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
338 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira squeezed past CD Feirense 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paços De Ferreira as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 52% of the ball to CD Feirense's 48%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.47 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Feirense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.17 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense?

Paços De Ferreira 1-0 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 49%, draw 27%, CD Feirense 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paços De Ferreira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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