Boavista 0-4 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

Boavista
0-4 HT 0-2
Sporting Braga
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Boavista vs Sporting Braga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
1.97
Over 2.5
64%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.73
No
33%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
3.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.3
6+ Goals
16%
11.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.06
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
10%
9.22
X/2
16%
4.04
X/X
12%
5.1
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.23
2/X
9%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
47%
-10.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
53%
+10.4pp
67%
BTTS Yes
54%
+13.1pp
33%
BTTS No
46%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boavista v Sporting Braga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.25/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.21
+17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
19.1 Crosses 18.8
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Boavista vs Sporting Braga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 392
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 4-1 HT 2-1 Boavista Boavista POR
15.07.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista HAZ
20.05.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
14.01.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
05.03.2022 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
16.12.2021 Boavista Boavista 5-1 HT 3-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga PORLC

Boavista 0-4 Sporting Braga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
0-4
AWAY Sporting Braga
0.83 xG 1.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
380 Passes 464
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga cruised past Boavista 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

On the day, Boavista had 46% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 54%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.83 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boavista and 1.67 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Sporting Braga?

Boavista 0-4 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Boavista 27%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga 46%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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