Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.45
2-3 Goals
34%
1.89
4-5 Goals
31%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.53/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.25
-29% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.5 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Wehda
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
363 Passes 297
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
16.10.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
05.03.2021 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-2 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
06.12.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
11.03.2020 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-1
AWAY Al Wehda
3.21 xG 0.88
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
406 Passes 196
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
55 Box Touches 12
43 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Wehda 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 64% of the ball to Al Wehda's 36%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 3.21 to 0.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ittihad-Jeddah's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.00 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Wehda?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 53%, draw 21%, Al Wehda 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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