Galatasaray 2-1 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.89
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.1
X/1
19%
3.66
X/2
9%
16.75
X/X
12%
8.27
2/1
6%
19.85
2/2
9%
11.75
2/X
4%
19.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-17.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
2.39/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.92
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
24.5 Crosses 12.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.99 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
403 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
21.01.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.08.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
20.05.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
25.12.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
24.04.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
2-1
AWAY Antalyaspor
3.46 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
287 Passes 243
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray edged past Antalyaspor 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Galatasaray had 53% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 47%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 3.46 to 1.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Galatasaray's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Galatasaray and 0.33 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?

Galatasaray 2-1 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 53%, draw 23%, Antalyaspor 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →