Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
1-1
HT 1-1
Cerro
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Cerro
URU2
0-0
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Cerro
URU
Defensor Sporting 5-0 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting swept aside Cerro 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 59% of the ball to Cerro's 41%, shots finished 19-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.83 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
Defensor Sporting 5-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 46%, draw 25%, Cerro 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.