Metropolitanos 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

Metropolitanos
1-2 HT 0-1
Hermanos Colmenarez
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Metropolitanos vs Hermanos Colmenarez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metropolitanos v Hermanos Colmenarez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.60/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.47
+11% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
28.2 Crosses 13.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Metropolitanos vs Hermanos Colmenarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.26 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.07.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
13.05.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-3 HT 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
10.07.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
15.05.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 HT 0-2 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
01.12.2021 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 4-0 HT 2-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
10.11.2021 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN

Metropolitanos 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
1-2
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
2.35 xG 0.58
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
445 Passes 126
84% Pass Accuracy 58%
32 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez nicked a narrow win over Metropolitanos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Metropolitanos at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 72% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 28%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.35 to 0.58 — the balance of chances actually favoured Metropolitanos.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.50 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Metropolitanos 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 55%, draw 21%, Hermanos Colmenarez 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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