Mlada Boleslav 0-2 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.9
Over 2.5
59%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.3
6+ Goals
13%
12.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
2.68
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
20%
4.71
X/2
9%
7.62
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.3
2/2
14%
5.64
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
49%
-8.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
51%
+8.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.5pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.01/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.34
-8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 1.68
52% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
224 Passes 293
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
09.03.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
01.10.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
16.04.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 4-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
23.10.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-3 HT 1-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
12.03.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
0-2
AWAY Bohemians 1905
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 beat Mlada Boleslav 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 43% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 57%, shots finished 5-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 2.00 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905?

Mlada Boleslav 0-2 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 41%, draw 28%, Bohemians 1905 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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