Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Feb 2025

Deportivo Pasto
2-1 HT 1-1
Union Magdalena
📅26/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pasto v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.25/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.38
+13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
20.7 Crosses 12.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 0.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-1 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
30.04.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
24.07.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
04.02.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
24.08.2019 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
05.06.2019 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-0 HT 2-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL

Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
2-1
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.58 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
331 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto edged past Union Magdalena 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 53% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 47%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.58 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.83 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena?

Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 55%, draw 26%, Union Magdalena 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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