Haras El Hodood 0-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+7.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-12.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.6pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
0.42/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.67
-22% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +16%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
248 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
8.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
13.9 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.67 xG 1.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
243 Passes 449
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.07.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
22.06.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
07.09.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
15.12.2019 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
08.02.2019 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
22.12.2015 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
0-1
AWAY Al Ahly
0.39 xG 1.11
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
143 Passes 455
59% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly squeezed past Haras El Hodood 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 31% of the ball to Al Ahly's 69%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.39 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Haras El Hodood and 1.83 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs Al Ahly?

Haras El Hodood 0-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 20%, draw 28%, Al Ahly 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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