Meksika vs İzlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Meksika v İzlanda — Team-Based Signals
Meksika vs İzlanda Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
İzlanda
HAZ
3-0
HT 1-0
İzlanda
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
İzlanda
HAZTUR
Meksika 4-0 İzlanda — Actual Match Statistics
Meksika ran out comfortable winners over İzlanda 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Meksika had 57% of the ball to İzlanda's 43%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 4.64 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Meksika and 0.33 for İzlanda.
What was the final score of Meksika vs İzlanda?
Meksika 4-0 İzlanda in the Friendlies on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Meksika vs İzlanda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Meksika 68%, draw 16%, İzlanda 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.