Al Zawraa 1-2 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 26 Feb 2026

📅26/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+7.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.45/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.01
+25% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Zawraa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Shorta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.04.2025 Al Shorta Al Shorta 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa IRAK
08.02.2025 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shorta Al Shorta IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta squeezed past Al Zawraa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Zawraa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Zawraa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Zawraa and 0.00 for Al Shorta.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta?

Al Zawraa 1-2 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 42%, draw 29%, Al Shorta 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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