Gateshead 7-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.35
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
18%
4.46
X/2
13%
8.33
X/X
9%
5.88
2/1
7%
20.8
2/2
11%
5.56
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.63/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.58
+0% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
397 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hartlepool United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
01.01.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
26.12.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 2-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
01.01.2018 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
26.12.2017 Gateshead Gateshead 2-2 HT 1-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
25.07.2015 Gateshead Gateshead 5-3 HT 2-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
7-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead ran out comfortable winners over Hartlepool United 7-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gateshead had 69% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 31%, shots finished 23-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gateshead and 2.00 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Hartlepool United?

Gateshead 7-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 41%, draw 28%, Hartlepool United 31%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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